Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.190623 0.203520 0.217052 0.232343 0.249186 0.267219 0.288051
2025-06-08 0.164362 0.183318 0.204476 0.230022 0.260267 0.295236 0.339171
2025-06-15 0.149807 0.172673 0.199438 0.233490 0.276269 0.329079 0.400586
2025-06-22 0.135108 0.159485 0.189028 0.228126 0.279547 0.346435 0.442806
2025-06-29 0.122290 0.146993 0.177742 0.219711 0.276972 0.354724 0.472796
2025-07-06 0.112336 0.137078 0.168571 0.212700 0.274852 0.362514 0.502156
2025-07-13 0.107869 0.133738 0.167457 0.216065 0.286960 0.391313 0.566976
2025-07-20 0.103840 0.130579 0.166186 0.218855 0.298203 0.419815 0.635849
2025-07-27 0.099749 0.126994 0.163960 0.219912 0.306707 0.444785 0.702914
2025-08-03 0.095417 0.122766 0.160476 0.218702 0.311385 0.463844 0.762575
2025-08-10 0.091101 0.118289 0.156305 0.216041 0.313336 0.478302 0.815937
2025-08-17 0.086534 0.113203 0.150925 0.211070 0.310934 0.484678 0.854017
2025-08-24 0.082750 0.109150 0.146970 0.208258 0.312257 0.498609 0.912701
2025-08-31 0.079380 0.105554 0.143524 0.206055 0.314503 0.514754 0.980792
2025-09-07 0.077573 0.104144 0.143269 0.208963 0.325959 0.550181 1.103630
2025-09-14 0.074093 0.100074 0.138695 0.204349 0.323293 0.556883 1.156756
2025-09-21 0.070254 0.095305 0.132801 0.197122 0.315134 0.551147 1.175741
2025-09-28 0.066944 0.091212 0.127784 0.191091 0.308731 0.548393 1.202657
2025-10-05 0.065834 0.090419 0.127938 0.193986 0.319673 0.584873 1.353870
2025-10-12 0.064682 0.089502 0.127831 0.196385 0.329850 0.621261 1.519134
2025-10-19 0.063291 0.088149 0.126938 0.197293 0.337082 0.651927 1.678696
2025-10-26 0.061596 0.086250 0.125050 0.196253 0.340167 0.672993 1.813783
2025-11-02 0.059757 0.084055 0.122574 0.193966 0.340395 0.686921 1.928509